GBPJPY Potential Reversal (Nov 26, 2014)

The pair is still a hundred pips away from testing the neckline support at the 184.00 levels.

A break below the neckline could send GBPJPY lower by as much as 200 pips, which is the same height as the chart pattern. Stochastic is heading south and indicating a pickup in selling momentum anyway, which suggests that a test of the neckline is possible.

A bounce off 184.00 could lead to the formation of another top at the 186.00 handle, which could either lead to range-bound movement or a triple top pattern, which is still a valid reversal formation. Both the BOE and BOJ are holding dovish biases, as the former shifted to a more cautious stance while the latter actually implemented additional easing recently.

Event risks for this trade setup today include the release of the U.K. second GDP estimate, which could see no change at 0.7%. There are no major reports up for release from Japan, leaving yen pairs sensitive to risk sentiment as well.

By Kate Curtis from Trader's Way